MLB Same Game Parlay Odds & Picks: Saturday (5/3)
We have a few interesting MLB matchups today. Let's examine them and make a few same-game parlay (SGP) betting cards with our top MLB picks and predictions.
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Saturday’s Best MLB Same Game Parlay Bets
(Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook)
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles
- Leg 1: Royals Moneyline (-105)
- Leg 2: Kris Bubic Under 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-145)
- Leg 3: Orioles Team Total Under 4.5 Runs (-135)
The Royals look like one of the hottest teams in baseball, having won nine of their last 11 games. The offense played a part in that span, with the second-best average (.288), but the pitching staff was nearly unhittable, leading with a 2.13 ERA and a .195 opponents’ batting average.
Kris Bubic has contributed four quality starts in his seven outings. He does a fantastic job at switching speeds, with his pitching run value in the 93rd percentile and whiff rate in the 73rd percentile.
The lefty gets a great opportunity against an Orioles offense that has struggled against lefties, hitting a MLB-worst .172.
Parlay Odds: +474
Detroit Tigers at Los Angeles Angels
- Leg 1: Tigers -1.5 (-115)
- Leg 2: Jack Flaherty Over 17.5 Outs Recorded (-120)
- Leg 3: Angels First Three Innings Under 0.5 Runs (+105)
How many more embarrassing ways can the Angels lose? On Friday, they held a tight 1-0 lead for most of the game, but it unraveled in the ninth. They would allow five home runs in an eight-run ninth to the Tigers to lose 9-1.
Detroit has all the momentum with Jack Flaherty on the mound. The Los Angeles native should feel comfortable pitching at home, especially against an Angels offense batting .206 (26th) in their last six games.
Parlay Odds: +603
Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee Brewers
- Leg 1: Under 8.5 Runs (-108)
- Leg 2: Jose Quintana Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-115)
- Leg 3: Under 1.5 Total Home Runs (+115)
Jose Quintana has been great to watch this season and has been the Brewers’ best starter, winning all four of his starts with a 1.13 ERA. He's never been an overpowering pitcher, but what he does well is keep the ball down. None of his metrics jump out. His whiff rate is only in the 22nd percentile, his hard-hit rate is in the 53rd percentile and his ground ball rate is in the 79th percentile.
This is an intriguing matchup because we will see strength versus strength. The Cubs have the third-lowest ground ball rate (38.1%), the lowest of any team Quintana has faced. However, of the four teams he's faced this year, all are in the top 14 lowest in ground ball rate, with two in the top eight.
Parlay Odds: +674
Make sure to check out our other best bets for Saturday: