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2025 Kentucky Derby: Sovereignty Odds, Picks & Predictions

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The Kentucky Derby is one of the most prestigious and highly anticipated events in the world of horse racing. Held annually on the first Saturday in May, the Kentucky Derby attracts horse racing enthusiasts from all over the world. The Derby is a 1 1/4 mile race for three-year-old thoroughbreds and is often referred to as “the most exciting two minutes in sports.” Let's take a look at the odds for one of the horses competing in the 150th Run for the Roses: Sovereignty.

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2025 Kentucky Derby Profile & Predictions: Sovereignty

  • Name: Sovereignty
  • Post Position: 18
  • Trainer: Bill Mott
  • Jockey: Junior Alvarado
  • Owner: Godolphin (Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum)
  • Breeder: Kentucky
  • Sire: Into Mischief
  • Dam: Crowned (by Bernardini)
  • Color: Bay
  • Career Record: 5 starts: 2 wins, 2 seconds
  • Earnings: $572,800
  • Top Beyer Speed Figure: 95 (Fountain of Youth Stakes)
  • Top Equibase Speed Figure: 100
  • Derby Qualifying Points: 110 (Ranked 6th)
  • Odds: 5-1

Sovereignty has won two of his last three races, finishing second behind Tappan Street in the other. This is one of the few horses in the field that has beaten Sandman, which is why he’s listed as the second favorite rather than the aforementioned horse.

When comparing this horse to the favorite Journalism, there’s not much of a difference between the two. However, one area where Sovereignty may have an advantage is in the competition that he has faced. He has run against a lot of horses in this race, which should help jockey Manuel Franco and trainer William I. Mott come up with a plan for Saturday’s race.

Franco and Mott have never won a Kentucky Derby, but this is the horse that should be favored on Derby Day.

– Phil Wood

Bet: Win / Use in Exotics

Post Horse Trainer Name Jockey Name Odds
1 Citizen Bull Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 20-1
2 Neoequos Saffie Joseph Jr. Flavien Prat 30-1
3 Final Gambit Brad H. Cox Luan Machado 30-1
4 Rodriguez Bob Baffert Mike E. Smith 12-1
5 American Promise D. Wayne Lukas Nik Juarez 30-1
6 Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato Christophe Lemaire 30-1
7 Luxor Cafe Noriyuki Hori João Moreira 15-1
8 Journalism Michael W. McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 3-1
9 Burnham Square Ian R. Wilkes Brian Hernandez Jr. 12-1
10 Grande Todd A. Pletcher John R. Velazquez 20-1
11 Flying Mohawk Whit Beckman Joe Ramos 30-1
12 East Avenue Brendan P. Walsh Manny Franco 20-1
13 Publisher Steven M. Asmussen Irad Ortiz Jr. 20-1
14 Tiztastic Steven M. Asmussen Joel Rosario 20-1
15 Render Judgement Kenneth G. McPeek Julien Leparoux 30-1
16 Coal Battle Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas 30-1
17 Sandman Mark E. Casse José Ortiz 6-1
18 Sovereignty William I. Mott Junior Alvarado 5-1
19 Chunk of Gold Ethan West Jareth Loveberry 30-1
20 Owen Almighty Brian A. Lynch Javier Castellano 30-1
21 (AE) Baeza John Shirreffs Flavien Prat 12-1

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